Three Candidates Hypothetical B

Three Candidates Hypothetical B
Hypothetical run by Copilot using Elected Together Methodology

1. Scenario Interpretation Framework
Candidate Table

CandidateAffiliation
Blue 1Progressive
Red 1Conservative
Green 1Independent

Voter Group Table

GroupSize1st Choice2nd Choice3rd Choice
G125Blue 1Green 1
G215Blue 1
G310Blue 1Green 1Red 1
G420Red 1Green 1
G515Red 1
G610Green 1Blue 1
G75Green 1Red 1

Total electorate: 100 voters


2. Majority Seat RCV Process

First-Choice Tally

CandidateVotes
Blue 150 (G1 + G2 + G3)
Red 135 (G4 + G5)
Green 115 (G6 + G7)

No candidate has >50%. Proceed to runoff.


Round 1: Eliminate Green 1 (15 votes)

Redistribute:

  • G6 (10): next choice → Blue 1
  • G7 (5): next choice → Red 1

New Tally:

CandidateVotes
Blue 150 + 10 = 60
Red 135 + 5 = 40

Blue 1 reaches 60% → Wins Majority Seat


Majority Seat Power Allocation

Now we add ballots that listed Blue 1 as second choice but weren’t used in electing her:

  • G4 (20 voters): Blue 1 not ranked → not added
  • G5 (15): Blue 1 not ranked → not added
  • G6 (10): already used in Majority tally
  • G7 (5): Blue 1 not ranked → not added

Total ballots contributing to Blue 1’s power: 60

Majority Seat Voting Power: 60% → 1.2 seats


Ballots Removed from Minority Pool

  • G1 (25 voters): used in Majority tally
  • G2 (15 voters): used in Majority tally
  • G3 (10 voters): used in Majority tally
  • G6 (10 voters): used in Majority tally → Removed from Minority pool

3. Minority Seat RCV Process

Remaining groups:

GroupSize1st Choice2nd Choice
G420Red 1Green 1
G515Red 1
G75Green 1Red 1

First-Choice Tally:

CandidateVotes
Red 135 (G4 + G5)
Green 15 (G7)

Blue 1 eliminated — already removed


Round 1: Eliminate Green 1 (5 votes)

Redistribute:

  • G7 (5): next choice → Red 1

New Tally:

CandidateVotes
Red 135 + 5 = 40

Red 1 reaches 100% of remaining ballots → Wins Minority Seat


Minority Seat Voting Power

  • Remaining power: 2.0 − 1.2 = 0.8
  • Minority Seat Voting Power: 0.8 → Red 1

4. Final Seat Outcomes

Seat TypeCandidateAffiliationVoting Power
Majority SeatBlue 1Progressive1.2
Minority SeatRed 1Conservative0.8

5. Narrative and Strategic Commentary

G7’s ballot initially supported Green 1, but after Green 1 was eliminated, it transferred to Red 1, giving Red 1 a full sweep of the remaining ballots.

Red 1 wins the Minority Seat and receives the remaining 0.8 voting power.